Oddball: Why don’t you knock it off with them negative waves? Why don’t you dig how beautiful it is out here? Why don’t you say something righteous and hopeful for a change?
Moriarty: Crap!
(from Kelly’s Heroes)
In a move that was making stat-heads apoplectic even before the deal was confirmed, the Dodgers have signed center fielder Juan Pierre for 5 years, $44 million dollars as a replacement for the outgoing Kenny Lofton.
Why the anger? His line from last year was 292/330/388 (that’s Batting Average, On-Base Percentage, and Slugging Percentage), which are red flags for the stat-inclined. While not what you want to see in a leadoff hitter, I think he compares favorably to Lofton, our number two hitter, at least at the plate:
| 2006 | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
| K Lofton | 129 | 469 | 79 | 141 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 41 | 45 | 42 | 32 | 5 | .301 | .360 | .403 | .763 |
| J Pierre | 162 | 699 | 87 | 204 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 40 | 32 | 38 | 58 | 20 | .292 | .330 | .388 | .718 |
Now, there’s no getting around the awful walk numbers — only 32 in 699 at-bats — not to mention the anemic OBP, but in virtually every category, Pierre’s 2006 hitting numbers are at least vaguely comparable to Lofton’s numbers. Again, we theoretically would be putting Pierre in Lofton’s hitting slot, behind Rafael Furcal.
Obviously, the baserunning will be an adventure. Nearly twice as many stolen bases in almost twice as many attempts, but also thrown out a lot more often. In the field, from what I’ve scanned today, he reportedly has a poor arm, but makes up for that somewhat with great speed. Will his skills translate well to the Dodger Stadium outfield? Only time will tell.
So those are some of the potential drawbacks. On the plus side, he has missed exactly zero games the past four seasons, is 29 years old (a decade younger than Kenny), and apparently is a character guy with a positive influence in the dugout.
Part of the stat-dude anger has to do with the five years, as well as the potential blocking of younger players. No one knows what other moves might be made this off-season in an effort to bring us a big bat or front-line pitching, of course, but in any case, I don’t think the deal deserves the hyperbolic rage being displayed, nor the calls for Ned Colletti’s head on a platter. And even if this has the potential to be a mistake, it also has the potential to be a success. We shall see.
The official Inside the Dodgers blog has more now that the the announcement has been made, including discussion of the stats-folk reaction.